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The effects of chemotherapy, primary tumor location and histological subtype on the survival of stage III colon cancer patients

Abstract

Objective

Colon cancer (CC) is one of the most common cancers worldwide and has a poor prognosis. Surgery followed by adjuvant chemotherapy is the standard treatment strategy for stage III CC patients. Primary tumor location (PTL) is an important factor for the long-term survival of CC. However, the difference in the prognosis between the histological subtypes of mucinous adenocarcinoma (MAC) and nonspecific adenocarcinoma (AC) in stage III CC patients is unclear. The correlation of chemotherapy, PTL and histological subtype with the overall survival (OS) of stage III CC patients has not yet been explored.

Methods

Patients diagnosed with stage III CC from 2010 to 2016 in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database were retrieved. The clinicopathological features and OS were analyzed according to the chemotherapy, PTL and histological subtype.

Results

A total of 28,765 eligible stage III CC patients were enrolled in this study. The results showed that chemotherapy, left-sided CC (LCC) and AC were favorable prognostic factors for OS. Right-sided CC (RCC) had worse OS than LCC regardless of chemotherapy. MAC had worse OS than AC in the patients with chemotherapy, but the survival benefits disappeared in the patients without chemotherapy. Additionally, in LCC, MAC had worse OS than AC regardless of chemotherapy. However, in RCC, MAC had worse OS than AC in patients with chemotherapy but had similar OS to AC in patients without chemotherapy. In the AC group, RCC had worse OS than LCC regardless of chemotherapy. In the MAC group, RCC had comparable OS to LCC regardless of chemotherapy. Four subgroups, i.e., RCC/MAC, RCC/AC, LCC/MAC and LCC/AC, all showed benefits from chemotherapy. Among them, LCC/AC had the best OS, and RCC/MAC had the worst OS compared with the other three subgroups.

Conclusion

The prognosis of MAC is worse than that of AC in stage III CC. LCC/AC has the best OS, while RCC/MAC has the worst OS but still benefits from chemotherapy. The impact of chemotherapy on survival is greater than that of histological subtype, but the impact of histological subtype on survival is similar to that of PTL.

Peer Review reports

Background

Colon cancer (CC) remains one of the most common and deadly cancers worldwide [1, 2]. In particular, the majority of CC patients are diagnosed at an advanced stage, especially stage III. Adjuvant chemotherapy following surgery is the recommended treatment for stage III CC patients [3, 4]. Previous studies have reported that primary tumor location (PTL) could significantly affect the efficacy of chemotherapy and the long-term survival of CC patients, with worse survival in right-sided CC (RCC) patients than in left-sided CC (LCC) patients [5, 6]. Additionally, evidence has also shown that RCC has impaired sensitivity to chemotherapy compared with LCC [7, 8]. Studies have suggested that potential factors such as microsatellite instability-high (MSI-H) and BRAF mutation status in PTL lead to such differences, but the exact molecular mechanisms have yet to be fully elucidated [9, 10].

Recently, the specific histological subtype of mucinous adenocarcinoma (MAC) of CC has become a hot research topic [11, 12]. MAC is the second most common histological subtype and accounts for approximately 10–15% of all CC patients, which is defined as more than 50% of tumor volume being composed of extracellular mucin [13, 14]. MAC has some distinct clinicopathological features, such as more RCC, advanced tumor stage, and frequent MSI-H, CpG island methylator phenotype (CIMP) and BRAF mutation [15]. Interestingly, a previous study demonstrated that MAC is associated with chemo-resistance compared with nonspecific adenocarcinoma (AC), especially for 5-FU-based chemotherapy regimens [16]. Therefore, it has become a new topic in current research on chemotherapy for CC.

Chemotherapy resistance usually occurs in RCC [17]. Accordingly, MAC is always common in RCC and presents a chemoresistance tendency [18, 19]. More interestingly, some studies have shown that RCC and MAC have some similar molecular characteristics [20, 21]. Therefore, PTL and histological subtype are two unmodifiable factors associated with patient survival who receive chemotherapy, which has received increasing attention [10]. All the above interesting findings led us to explore the cross-linked impact of PTL and histological subtype on the survival of stage III CC patients who were treated with radical surgery plus adjuvant chemotherapy. Therefore, this study aimed to explore the main risk factors affecting the survival of stage III CC patients in a cross-linked condition of chemotherapy, PTL and histological subtype using the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database.

Materials and methods

Data source

As we described previously, we required cases from 18 SEER registries (http://seer.cancer.gov/csr/1975_2017) and obtained permission to download the data from the SEER database, which did not require informed patient consent [22].

Patient selection

We accessed the SEER database (SEER*Stat 8.3.6) and the patients diagnosed with III colon cancer from 2010 to 2016 were enrolled (Fig. 1). This study included colon cancer patients: 1) pathological evidence was confirmed; 2) complete clinicopathological information was available in the database; 3) American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) 7th ed stage = III; and 4) the primary tumor sites were from cecum to sigmoid colon. Patients were excluded if 1) the tumor site was large intestine and NOS/Appendix; 2) diagnostic confirmation was unknown and radiography without microscopic confirmation; 3) the histologic type was another histological subtype; 4) the AJCC stage was unknown and blank(s); and 5) surgery at the primary site was 0–29, 90 and 99.

Fig. 1
figure 1

Flowchart of patient inclusion and exclusion into the study. SEER, Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results; AJCC, American Joint Committee on Cancer; RCC, right-sided colon cancer; LCC, left-sided colon cancer; AC, nonspecific adenocarcinoma; MAC, mucinous adenocarcinoma

Statistical analysis

Statistical analyses were performed with SPSS (SPSS version 22.0, USA). The clinicopathological characteristics of stage III CC patients were compared using the chi-square test. OS of CC patients was estimated using Kaplan–Meier survival curves, and the log-rank test was used among these groups. The multivariate Cox regression analyses were employed to identify factors effected stage III CC patients’ OS. P value of less than 0.05 was considered statistically significant.

Results

General characteristics of patients with AJCC stage III CC

A total of 28,765 eligible cases were retrieved and enrolled from the SEER database according to the inclusion and exclusion criteria. All common clinicopathologic features between RCC and LCC and between AC and MAC are shown in Table 1 and Table 2, respectively. A total of 60.6% of patients (n = 17,430) were RCC patients, 39.4% (n = 11,335) were LCC patients, 89.3% (n = 25,686) were AC patients, and 10.7% (n = 3079) were MAC patients. The differences in demographic and clinicopathological characteristics between the RCC group and the LCC group were statistically significant in terms of sex, age, histological subtype, grade, p–T/N stage, chemotherapy, tumor size, tumor deposits and perineural invasion, as shown in Table 1 (P ≤ 0.001). Among those patients, RCC patients were more likely to be diagnosed with MAC than LCC patients (P ≤ 0.001).

Table 1 Characteristics of patients with AJCC stage III colon cancer by PTL
Table 2 Characteristics of patients with AJCC stage III colon cancer by histological subtype

As shown in Table 2, the differences in demographic and clinicopathological characteristics between the MAC group and the AC group were statistically significant in terms of age, PTL, grade, p–T stage, tumor size and perineural invasion (P < 0.05). Patients with MAC were more likely to be > 60 years old, RCC, grade III/IV, T4 tumors, tumor size > 5 cm, elevated CEA, and less perineural invasion than patients with AC.

Long-term survival of patients with AJCC stage III colon cancer according to chemotherapy, PTL and histological subtype

To explore the potential advantage of PTL, histological subtype and chemotherapy for long-term survival, we analyzed the survival difference via Kaplan‒Meier analysis and log-rank tests. The results showed that the OS of the nonchemotherapy group was poorer than that of the chemotherapy group (P ≤ 0.001, Fig. 2A); the OS of the RCC group was poorer than that of the LCC group (P ≤ 0.001, Fig. 2B), and the OS of the MAC group was poorer than that of the AC group (P ≤ 0.001, Fig. 2C). These results indicated that subgroups such as chemotherapy, LCC and AC were favorable prognostic factors affecting the OS of patients with stage III CC.

Fig. 2
figure 2

Long-term survival of patients with stage III CC according to chemotherapy, PTL and histology. A The survival curves showed that the OS of the nonchemotherapy patients was poorer than that of the chemotherapy patients. B The survival curves showed that the OS of RCC patients was poorer than that of LCC patients. C The survival curves showed that the OS of MAC patients was poorer than that of AC patients

The impact of PTL and histological subtype on the survival of patients with stage III CC stratified by chemotherapy.

We previously found that patients with stage III CC who received chemotherapy had better OS than those who did not receive chemotherapy. Additionally, the OS of the RCC group was lower than that of the LCC group. We further analyzed the survival differences between different PTL via stratification of chemotherapy treatment. The distribution of chemotherapy among them is shown in Table 3. The results showed that the OS of the RCC group was worse than that of the LCC group in the patients without chemotherapy (P ≤ 0.001, Fig. 3A). Furthermore, the OS of the RCC group was also worse than that of the LCC group in the patients with chemotherapy (P ≤ 0.001, Fig. 3B). These results indicated that PTL might be an independent prognostic factor affecting the OS of patients with stage III CC regardless of chemotherapy.

Table 3 Characteristics AJCC stage III CC patients with chemotherapy treatment stratified by PTL
Fig. 3
figure 3

The impact of PTL and histological subtype on the survival of patients with stage III CC stratified by chemotherapy. A For nonchemotherapy patients, LCC had better OS than RCC. B For chemotherapy patients, LCC had better OS than RCC. C For nonchemotherapy patients, AC patients had comparable OS with MAC patients. D For chemotherapy patients, AC patients had better OS than MAC patients with chemotherapy

The OS of the MAC group was lower than that of the AC group in our study. Then, we further analyzed the survival differences between AC and MAC patients via stratification of chemotherapy. The distribution of chemotherapy among them is shown in Table 4. The results showed that the OS of the MAC group was similar to that of the AC group in patients without chemotherapy (P = 0.083, Fig. 3C). However, the OS of the MAC group was worse than that of the AC group in the patients who received chemotherapy (P ≤ 0.001, Fig. 3D). These results indicated that in the chemotherapy subgroup, histological subtype might be a prognostic factor for patients with stage III CC.

Table 4 Characteristics AJCC stage III CC patients with chemotherapy treatment stratified by histological subtype

The impact of the correlation between PTL and histological subtype on the survival of stage III CC patients with chemotherapy.

PTL and histological subtype were identified as prognostic factors for stage III CC patients with chemotherapy in our study. Then, we further analyzed the survival differences between PTL and histological subtype via stratification analyses in the chemotherapy group.

First, we analyzed the survival differences between MAC and AC stratified by PTL. The results showed that the OS of the MAC group was poorer than that of the AC group in the RCC subgroup (P ≤ 0.001, Fig. 4A). Additionally, the OS of the MAC group was also poorer than that of the AC group in the LCC subgroup (P ≤ 0.001, Fig. 4B). In addition, the survival differences between RCC and LCC were also stratified by histological subtype. The results showed that the OS of the RCC group was poorer than that of the LCC group in the AC subgroup (P ≤ 0.001, Fig. 4C), but the OS of the RCC group was comparable to that of the LCC group in the MAC subgroup (P = 0.065, Fig. 4D). These results indicated that MAC was a poor prognostic factor for the OS of stage III CC patients with chemotherapy regardless of PTL, but PTL was not a prognostic factor for stage III MAC patients with chemotherapy.

Fig. 4
figure 4

The impact of the interplay of PTL and histological subtype on long-term survival of stage III CC patients with chemotherapy. A The stratified analysis survival curves showed that AC had a better OS than MAC in the RCC group. B The stratified analysis survival curves showed that AC had a better OS than MAC in the LCC group. C The stratified analysis survival curves showed that LCC had a better OS than RCC in the AC group. D The stratified analysis survival curves showed that LCC had comparable OS with RCC in the MAC group

The long-term survival difference among the subgroups of RCC/MAC, RCC/AC, LCC/MAC and LCC/AC.

We classified stage III CC patients into four groups based on PTL and histological subtype: RCC/MAC, RCC/AC, LCC/MAC and LCC/AC. The distribution of chemotherapy among them is shown in Table 5. We found that the LCC/AC group had the best OS compared with the other three subgroups, while the OS of the RCC/MAC, RCC/AC and LCC/MAC groups were similar to each other (Fig. 5A and 5D). In addition, the survival differences among RCC/MAC, RCC/AC, LCC/MAC and LCC/AC stratified by chemotherapy were also analyzed (Fig. 5B-D). In the nonchemotherapy hierarchy, LCC/AC had the best OS compared with the other three subgroups (P ≤ 0.001, Fig. 5B and 5D). In the chemotherapy hierarchy, LCC/AC also had the best OS (P ≤ 0.001, Fig. 5C and 5D), but RCC/MAC had the worst OS (P ≤ 0.001, Fig. 5C and 5D).

Table 5 The distribution of chemotherapy among the four subgroups after combining PTL and histology subtype
Fig. 5
figure 5

The long-term survival difference between the four subgroups, RCC/MAC, RCC/AC, LCC/MAC and LCC/AC. A The survival curves showed that LCC/AC had the best OS compared with the other three subgroups, which had similar OS. B For patients without chemotherapy, LCC/AC had the best OS compared with the other three subgroups, which had similar OS. C For patients with chemotherapy, LCC/AC had the best OS, followed by RCC/AC and LCC/MAC, which had similar OS, and RCC/MAC, which had the worst OS. D The results showed statistical analysis for Figures A, B and C. E The results showed that patients with chemotherapy had a better OS than those without chemotherapy in the RCC/MAC, RCC/AC, LCC/MAC, and LCC/AC groups

To further explore the impact of chemotherapy on the survival of the four groups of RCC/MAC, RCC/AC, LCC/MAC and LCC/AC, potential survival differences among them were analyzed. The results showed that patients with chemotherapy had a better OS than those without chemotherapy in the RCC/MAC, RCC/AC, LCC/MAC and LCC/AC subgroups (all P ≤ 0.001, Fig. 5E).

The impact of the interplay of PTL and histological subtype on the survival of stage III CC patients without chemotherapy.

To further explore the impact of the interplay of PTL and histological subtype on the OS of stage III CC patients, we analyzed the survival differences via stratification analyses in the nonchemotherapy group. First, the survival differences between MAC and AC were stratified by PTL. The results showed that the OS of the MAC group was similar to that of the AC group in the RCC subgroup (P = 0.555, Fig. 6A). However, the OS of the MAC group was poorer than that of the AC group in the LCC subgroup (P = 0.002, Fig. 6B). Second, the survival difference analyses between RCC and LCC were stratified by histological subtype. The results showed that the OS of RCC was poorer than that of LCC in the AC subgroup (P ≤ 0.001, Fig. 6C), but the OS of RCC was comparable to that of LCC in the MAC subgroup (P = 0.778, Fig. 6D). These results indicated that in stage III CC patients without chemotherapy, MAC is a poor indicator of OS for LCC but not for RCC. RCC is a poor indicator of OS in the AC but not in the MAC.

Fig. 6
figure 6

The impact of the interplay of PTL and histological subtype on the long-term survival of stage III CC patients without chemotherapy. A The stratified analysis survival curves showed that AC had comparable OS with MAC in the RCC group. B The stratified analysis survival curves showed that AC had a better OS than MAC in the LCC group. C The stratified analysis survival curves showed that LCC had a better OS than RCC in the AC group. D The stratified analysis survival curves showed that LCC had comparable OS to RCC in the MAC group

Risk factors for long-term survival of stage III CC patients

The risk factors for survival of stage III CC patients were explored via multivariable analyses (Fig. 7). Multivariate analysis revealed that OS was significantly dependent on sex, age, PTL, histological subtype, grade, p–T stage, p-N stage, chemotherapy, CEA, tumor deposits and perineural invasion in stage III CC patients (P < 0.05). However, tumor size was not significantly associated with OS in stage III CC patients in multivariable analyses (P > 0.05). Based on the results, sex, age, PTL, histological subtype, grade, p–T stage, p-N stage, chemotherapy, CEA, tumor deposits and perineural invasion were significant independent prognostic factors for OS in stage III CC patients.

Fig. 7
figure 7

Risk factors for long-term survival of stage III CC patients. Multivariate analysis of factors associated with OS in stage III CC patients

Discussion

Stage III CC patients account for a considerable proportion of cases: it has been reported that more than one-third of CC patients are stage III patients [23, 24]. In patients with stage III CC, chemotherapy is recommended and could reduce the risk of mortality and recurrence [25, 26]. Survival benefits from chemotherapy for patients with stage III CC are generally accepted, and many studies have shown that PTL is associated with long-term survival in stage III CC patients [27,28,29]. However, the differences in MAC and AC with respect to the prognosis of CC patients remains unclear [30,31,32]. Interestingly, the survival benefit from chemotherapy is greater for patients with LCC than for those with RCC [33, 34]. In addition, MAC has also been observed more often in RCC than in LCC [13, 35, 36]. Therefore, it is meaningful to identify the separate and joint effects of chemotherapy, PTL and histological subtype on the survival of patients with stage III CC.

Chemotherapy and LCC were associated with favorable OS in patients with stage III CC in this study. Importantly, we found that the OS of MAC was poorer than that of AC in stage III CC. MAC accounted for 10.7% of all CC cases and was more frequently found in RCC (RCC: 75.6% vs. LCC: 24.4%). The survival was different between PTL or histological subtype via stratification of chemotherapy. These results indicated that PTL might be an independent prognostic factor affecting the OS of patients with stage III CC regardless of chemotherapy, and histological subtype might be an independent prognostic factor affecting the OS of stage III CC patients with chemotherapy, which indicated that the prognosis of stage III CC was strongly associated with PTL and histological subtype. One novel aspect of this study is the interplay analyses of PTL and histological subtype on survival of stage III CC patients. In the LCC subgroup, MAC had worse OS than AC regardless of chemotherapy. In the RCC subgroup, MAC also had worse OS than AC in patients with chemotherapy, but MAC had similar OS to AC in patients without chemotherapy, which might be explained by the survival disadvantage of MAC. Additionally, it also indicated that the survival advantage of chemotherapy for AC is greater than that for MAC, which meant that the impact of chemotherapy on survival is greater than that of histological subtype. Surprisingly, in the AC subgroup, RCC had worse OS than LCC regardless of chemotherapy. In the MAC cohort, RCC had comparable OS to LCC regardless of chemotherapy. The reason for this finding might be that the MAC histological subtype offset the survival advantage brought by LCC, which indicated that the impact of histological subtype on survival is close to the impact of PTL on survival.

Furthermore, after combining analyses of PTL and histological subtype, the results showed that the LCC/AC subgroup exhibited better OS than the other three subgroups in the whole cohort, while the OS of the RCC/MAC, RCC/AC and LCC/MAC groups were similar to each other. When these four subgroups were stratified by chemotherapy, the results in the nonchemotherapy cohort showed the same results as the whole cohort, while the OS of the RCC/MAC group was different from that of the RCC/AC and LCC/MAC groups and became the worst in the chemotherapy cohort, which could also obtain a survival benefit from chemotherapy. This indicated that chemotherapy is still needed for RCC/MAC.

There are also several limitations to the present study. First, this is a retrospective study of public databases, which has potential selection bias. Second, due to limitations of the SEER database, information on the type of chemotherapy regimen, adherence and completion rates were not available. Third, there was a lack of support from multicenter perspective randomized controlled trials.

Conclusion

In conclusion, this study found survival differences in the subgroups of stage III CC, and chemotherapy, LCC or AC was associated with improved OS. LCC/AC had the best OS, while RCC/MAC had the worst OS but could also benefit from chemotherapy. The impact of chemotherapy on survival is greater than that of histological subtype. However, the impact of histological subtype on survival is close to that of PTL.

Availability of data and materials

The datasets used and/or analyzed during the current study are available from the corresponding author on reasonable request.

Abbreviations

CC:

Colon cancer

PTL:

Primary tumor location

MAC:

Mucinous adenocarcinoma

AC:

Adenocarcinoma

OS:

Overall Survival

SEER:

Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results

LCC:

Left-sided Colon Cancer

RCC:

Right-sided Colon Cancer

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Acknowledgements

Chenghui Zhou was financially supported by a CSC scholarship (The China Scholarship Council).

Funding

This work was supported by the Scientific Research Fund Project of Hunan Provincial Health Commission (20201919, 202104010105) and the Clinical Medical Technology Innovation Project of Hunan Province (2020SK51815).

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CH.Z and LQ.L wrote the manuscript; S.X and ZS.X guided the project and critically reviewed the manuscript, QL.H, Z.T and R.T contributed to the data retrieval and analysis. All authors have contributed to the preparation of the manuscript and reviewed/approved it in its final form.

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Correspondence to Zhongsheng Xiao or Shuai Xiao.

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Zhou, C., Lu, L., Huang, Q. et al. The effects of chemotherapy, primary tumor location and histological subtype on the survival of stage III colon cancer patients. BMC Gastroenterol 23, 110 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1186/s12876-023-02741-3

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