Validation of a new prognostic model to predict short and medium-term survival in patients with liver cirrhosis

BMC Gastroenterology

Table 4 Cut-off values and accuracy of diagnostic models for liver-related survival for patients with Child-Pugh Class B cirrhosis (n = 41)

Variable	Cut-off	Sensitivity	Specificity	PPV	NPV	Positive LR	Negative LR	Accuracy
3 M
MELD	15	1.0	0.66	0.13	1.0	2.92	0.00	0.68
MELD-Na	15	0.50	0.50	0.50	0.95	1.0	1.0	0.50
CreLiMAx	0.9	1.0	0.76	0.18	1.0	4.22	0.00	0.78
6 M
MELD	15	0.67	0.66	0.14	0.96	1.94	0.51	0.66
MELD-Na	15	0.67	0.51	0.11	0.95	1.37	0.65	0.53
CreLiMAx	0.9	0.67	0.77	0.20	0.96	2.92	0.43	0.76
12 M
MELD	15	0.50	0.67	0.23	0.87	1.50	0.75	0.64
MELD-Na	15	0.67	0.53	0.22	0.89	1.43	0.63	0.56
CreLiMAx	0.9	0.50	0.80	0.33	0.89	2.50	0.62	0.75

CreLiMAx Creatinin-LiMAx risk score; M months; MELD Model of end-stage liver disease; LiMAx maximum liver function capacity; LR Likelihood ratio; NPV negative predictive value; PPV positive predictive value

ISSN: 1471-230X