From: Validation of a new risk score system for non-variceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding
Risk factor | Univariate analysis | Multivariate analysis | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
OR | 95%CI | Pvalue | OR | 95%CI | Pvalue | |
Patient related factor | ||||||
Sex (Male) | 2.106 | 1.132–3.918 | 0.019 | 1.449 | 0.346–6.060 | 0.611 |
Age | 1.031 | 1.007–1.056 | 0.012 | 1.017 | 0.967–1.069 | 0.507 |
Alcohol | ||||||
Never | 1.000 | |||||
Present | 1.548 | 0.842–2.844 | 0.159 | |||
Smoking | ||||||
Never | 1.000 | |||||
Present | 0.442 | 0.228–0.857 | 0.016 | 0.383 | 0.106–1.385 | 0.143 |
ASA score 3 | 1.383 | 0.742–2.579 | 0.307 | |||
ASA score 4 | 200.279 | 60.103–667.385 | 0.000 | 111.642 | 16.31–764.083 | 0.000 |
Comorbidity | ||||||
Diabetes mellitus | 1.318 | 0.693–2.508 | 0.4 | |||
Hypertension | 2.481 | 1.281–4.806 | 0.007 | |||
Angina | 0.735 | 0.222–2.427 | 0.613 | |||
Cerebral infarction | 1.440 | 0.696–2.981 | 0.325 | |||
ARDS | 68.151 | 27.674–167.829 | 0.000 | 19.530 | 2.795–136.471 | 0.003 |
Disseminated malignancy | 3.930 | 1.943–7.949 | 0.000 | 9.020 | 1.741–46.716 | 0.009 |
Liver cirrhosis | 3.021 | 1.343–6.793 | 0.008 | 1.050 | 0.171–6.51 | 0.958 |
Sepsis | 22.147 | 9.804–50.029 | 0.000 | 0.695 | 0.124–3.894 | 0.679 |
DIC | 156.313 | 54.178–450.991 | 0.000 | 3.430 | 0.583–20.158 | 0.173 |
Vital sign | ||||||
SBP | 0.968 | 0.954–0.982 | 0.000 | 1.026 | 1.000–1.052 | 0.052 |
HR | 1.016 | 1.002–1.030 | 0.029 | 1.020 | 0.991–1.050 | 0.178 |
Lab | ||||||
Hb | 0.803 | 0.706–0.914 | 0.001 | 0.901 | 0.679–1.194 | 0.468 |
PLT | 0.993 | 0.989–0.998 | 0.002 | 0.999 | 0.993–1.005 | 0.707 |
BUN | 2.356 | 1.277–4.346 | 0.006 | 0.334 | 0.083–1.349 | 0.124 |
Cr | 1.012 | 1.003–1.020 | 0.006 | 1.434 | 1.031–1.996 | 0.032 |
Alb | 0.099 | 0.053–0.186 | 0.000 | 0.182 | 0.045–0.726 | 0.016 |
INR | 1.539 | 1.230–1.927 | 0.000 | 1.596 | 0.857–2.972 | 0.141 |
Chief complaint at first visit | ||||||
Syncope | 19.449 | 9.488–39.865 | 0.000 | 5.985 | 1.294–27.687 | 0.022 |
Admission and Endoscopy | ||||||
Admission before 8 h | 0.794 | 0.432–1.462 | 0.459 | |||
Admissionday(≥ 8 days) | 6.503 | 3.345–12.645 | 0.000 | 1.145 | 0.268–4.890 | 0.855 |
Outcomes | ||||||
Endoscopy failure at first admission | 27.903 | 13.072–59.561 | 0.000 | 8.272 | 1.558–43.104 | 0.012 |
Endoscopy hemostasis failure | 6.667 | 3.146–14.128 | 0.000 | 1.109 | 0.235–5.226 | 0.896 |
Re-bleeding at 2nd endoscopy | 2.720 | 1.383–5.352 | 0.004 | 0.586 | 0.127–2.702 | 0.493 |