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Table 2 Univariate analysis of binary and dichotomized risk predictors

From: Mortality Risk for Acute Cholangitis (MAC): a risk prediction model for in-hospital mortality in patients with acute cholangitis

Univariate analysis of binary and dichotomized risk predictors

Incidence of mortality

[Odds ratio (95 %-CI)] P- value

age ≥ 65

4.0 %(23/579)

[1.1(0.5-2.3)] P = 0.736

age < 65

3.5 %(14/402)

age ≥ 75

4.3 %(13/303)

[1.2(0.6-2.5)] P = 0.588

age < 75

3.5 %(24/678)

male

2.9 %(16/549)

[1.7(0.8-3.4)] P = 0.129

female

4.9 %(21/432)

fever (temp ≥39 °C)

3.8 %(2/52)

[1.0(0.2-4.4)] P = 1.000

fever (temp <39 °C)

3.8 %(34/905)

previous episode of cholangitis

3.8 %(17/446)

[1.0(0.5-1.9)] P = 1.000

no previous cholangitis episode

3.7 %(20/535)

indwelling stent (stent therapy)

3.4 %(16/466)

[0.8(0.4-1.7)] P = 0.619

no indwelling stent (stent therapy)

4.1 %(21/515)

PTC as interventional approach

6.1 %(19/310)

[2.4(1.2-4.6)] P = 0.011

no PTC as interventional approach

2.7 %(18/671)

mental confusiona

25.9 %(29/112)

[37.6(16.6-85.0)] P < 0.001

no mental confusion

0.9 %(8/869)

previous intervention (ERC/PTC)

5.0 %(19/383)

[0.6(0.3-1.2)] P = 0.125

no previous intervention

3.0 %(18/598)

hypotension requiring catecholaminea

18.3 %(11/60)

[7.7(3.6-16.6)] P < 0.001

no hypotension requiring catecholamine

2.8 %(26/921)

insufficient drainage

8.3 %(20/240)

[4.5(2.2-9.1)] P < 0.001

adequate drainage

2.0 %(14/706)

organ failure including all parameters witha

15.7 %(34/217)

[47.1(14.3-155.2)] P < 0.001

no organ failure

0.4 %(3/764)

leucocytes > 15 G/l

6.9 %(12/174)

[2.3(1.1-4.8)] P = 0.026

leucocytes ≤ 15 G/L

3.1 %(25/807)

bilirubin ≥5 mg/l

6.4 %(29/452)

[4.5(2.0-9.9)] P < 0.001

bilirubin <5 mg/l

1.5 %(8/529)

aspartat-Aminotransferase (AST) > 70

5.3 %(19/357)

[2.1(1.0-4.3)] P = 0.046

aspartat-Aminotransferase (AST) ≤ 70

2.6 %(14/532)

alanin-Aminotransferase (ALT) > 70

3.0 %(14/462)

[0.7(0.3-1.3)] P = 0.242

alanin-Aminotransferase (ALT) ≤ 70

4.6 %(23/502)

quick’s value < 50 %

16,7 %(9/54)

[6.4(2.8-14.5)] P < 0.001

quick’s value ≥ 50 %

3.0 %(28/927)

serum creatinine >2 mg/dla

13.2 %(5/38)

[4.3(1.5-11.8)] P = 0.012

serum creatinine ≤ 2 mg/dl

3.4 %(32/943)

platelet count < 100.000/mm3a

9.8 %(5/51)

[3.0(1.1-8.2)] P = 0.038

platelet count ≥ 100.000/mm3

3.4 %(32/930)

bacteremia

7.7 %(14/182)

[2.8(1.4-5.6)] P = 0.004

no bacteremia

2.9 %(23/799)

malignant genesis

1.9 %(9/472)

[3.0(1.3-6.5)] P = 0.004

non malignant genesis

5.5 %(28/509)

  1. aparameters included to organic failure