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Table 2 The death of acute pancreatitis in 1990/2019 and temporal trends

From: The global, regional, and national burden of acute pancreatitis in 204 countries and territories, 1990–2019

 

Death cases (95% UI)

Age-standard mortality rate (per 100,000)

EAPC of mortality rate

1990

2019

1990

2019

1990–2019 (%)

Global

69,817.6 (62,046.7–82,529.3)

115,053.2 (104,304.4–128,173.4)

1.7 (1.5–2.0)

1.4 (1.3–1.6)

− 17.2 (− 27.1 to − 6.6)

Sex

 Male

43,129.0 (37,615.8–51,561.2)

71,983.2 (63,882.3–81,418.6)

2.2 (1.9–2.6)

1.9 (1.7–2.1)

− 14.5 (− 24.4 to − 3.1)

 Female

26,688.6(23,528.9–32,952.8)

43,070 (36,592.6–50,773.7)

1.3 (1.1–1.6)

1.0 (0.8–1.2)

− 21.5 (− 36.2 to − 8.3)

SDI factor

     

 High SDI

12,159.0 (11,441.0–13,388.5)

16,160.0 (14,600.9–18,476.3)

1.2 (1.1–1.3)

0.9 (0.8–1.0)

− 26.9 (− 30.9 to − 21.5)

 High-middle SDI

21,366.4 (19,824.1–25,093.1)

34,393.0 (31,194.4–37,307.4)

2.0 (1.9–2.4)

1.8 (1.6–1.9)

− 11.7(− 27.4 to − 3.0)

 Middle SDI

15,561.3 (13,213.7–20,288.1)

25,776.2 (22,835.9–30,111.2)

1.4 (1.2–1.9)

1.1 (1.0–1.3)

− 24.7 (− 39.6 to − 7.6)

 Low-middle SDI

14,314.8 (11,855.7–18,507.1)

26,440.8 (21,686.3–30,710.8)

2.2 (1.8–2.8)

1.9 (1.5–2.2)

− 13.7 (− 31.8 to − 13.1)

 Low SDI

6385.7 (4653.4–8612.9)

12,232.2 (9722.6–15,560.5)

2.4 (1.7–3.3)

2.1 (1.7–2.7)

− 13.5 (− 27.8 to − 4.8)

Region

     

 Andean Latin America

1076.8 (811.2–1299.4)

1444.9 (1122.3–1971.2)

4.6(3.4–5.6)

2.5 (2.0–3.5)

− 44.2 (− 59.6 to − 15.1)

 Australasia

215.9 (198.6–233.7)

339 (292.5–396.5)

0.9 (0.9–1)

0.7 (0.6–0.8)

− 29.7 (− 37.7 to − 17.5)

 Caribbean

384.3 (338.7–436.9)

659.0(557.6–795.7)

1.4 (1.3–1.6)

1.3 (1.1–1.6)

− 9.6 (− 24.2 to 7.0)

 Central Asia

1179.1 (1016.3–1321.5)

1653.3 (1381.5–1884.1)

2.4 (2.1–2.8)

2.1 (1.8–2.4)

− 12.1 (− 24.3 to 1.7)

 Central Europe

4476.7 (4274.1–5033.9)

5140.4 (4513.4–5828.0)

3.2 (3.1–3.6)

2.7 (2.4–3.1)

− 15.6 (− 27.2 to − 4.2)

 Central Latin America

2018.5 (1909.5–2130.6)

4332.6 (3728.8–5065.2)

2.1 (1.9–2.2)

1.8 (1.6–2.1)

− 12.4 (− 24.8 to 2.2)

 Central Sub-Saharan Africa

452.4 (302.2–763.6)

911.5 (530.4–1648.7)

1.8 (1.2–3.1)

1.4 (0.8–2.7)

− 19.7 (v43 to 4.6)

 East Asia

9323.9 (7503.7–12,418.1)

11,289.8 (8798.1–13,450.7)

1.1 (0.9–1.5)

0.6 (0.5–0.7)

− 44.3 (− 60.6 to − 26.3)

 Eastern Europe

7662.1 (6921.7–10,789)

15,578.4 (13,366.9–17,734.7)

2.9 (2.6–4.1)

5.3 (4.5–6)

83.2(20.1–115.4)

 Eastern Sub-Saharan Africa

1398.2(899.1–2104.9)

2769.3 (1710.4–4739.2)

1.7 (1.0–2.6)

1.5 (0.9–2.7)

− 12.1 (− 34.6 to 9.5)

 High-income Asia Pacific

1792.4 (1602.4–2057.1)

2248.0 (1886.8–2803.8)

1.0 (0.9–1.1)

0.5 (0.4–0.6)

− 49.5 (− 55.7 to − 39.5)

 High-income North America

3348.2 (3123.7–3579.4)

5443.7 (4993.9–5955.3)

1.0 (0.9–1)

0.9 (0.9–1.0)

− 5.6 (− 9.6 to 1.3)

 North Africa and Middle East

1718.7 (1389–2350.2)

3394.9 (2654.5–4069.2)

1.1 (0.9–1.5)

0.9 (0.7.0–1.1)

− 21.2 (− 42.6 to 2.9)

 Oceania

36.8 (25.7–52.2)

76.7 (53.7–107.9)

1.1 (0.7–1.5)

0.9 (0.7–1.3)

− 11.9 (− 32 to 11)

 South Asia

14,050.3 (11,344.3–19,215)

25,936.8 (20,085.4–31,351.7)

2.3 (1.8–3.1)

1.8 (1.4–2.2)

− 20.2 (− 42.4 to 11.9)

 Southeast Asia

4993.4 (3842.9–7457.8)

7913.5 (6540.7–11,170.8)

1.8 (1.4–2.6)

1.3 (1.1–1.8)

− 25.1 (− 40.9 to − 2.5)

 Southern Latin America

1267.6 (1136.0–1374.1)

1495.7 (1347.0–1732.5)

2.8 (2.5–3.0)

1.8 (1.7–2.1)

− 33.8 (− 42.5 to − 17.9)

 Southern Sub-Saharan Africa

325.4 (263.3–414.7)

573.9 (453–675.4)

1.0 (0.8–1.3)

0.9 (0.7–1.1)

− 7.8 (− 33.5 to 10.6)

 Tropical Latin America

2329.6(2212.2–2485.9)

5557.4 (4793.8–5987.2)

2.3 (2.1–2.4)

2.3 (2.0–2.5)

1.0 (− 15.1 to 12)

 Western Europe

7986.7 (7447.9–8873.5)

9984.5 (8925.7–11,455.5)

1.4 (1.4–1.6)

1.1 (1.0–1.2)

− 25.7 (− 30.9 to − 19.4)

 Western Sub-Saharan Africa

3781.0 (2498.4–5769.9)

8310.1 (5927.1–11,883.0)

3.8 (2.5–5.8)

3.6 (2.7–5.1)

− 3.9 (− 30.4 to 28.5)

  1. EAPC, estimated annual percentage change; UI, uncertainty interval