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Table 1 The incidence of acute pancreatitis in 1990/2019 and temporal trends

From: The global, regional, and national burden of acute pancreatitis in 204 countries and territories, 1990–2019

Location Incident cases (95% UI) Age-standardized incidence rate (per 100,000) EAPC of incidence rate
1990 2019 1990 2019 1990–2019 (%)
Global 1,727,789.3 (1,452,132.4–2,059,695.3) 2,814,972.3 (2,414,361.3–3,293,591.8) 37.9 (32–44.6) 34.8 (29.8–40.7) – 8.4 (– 10.4 to – 5.9)
Sex
 Male 929,028.7 (774,587.6–1,115,575.6) 1,541,017.1 (1,307,264.4–1,814,454.3) 41.0 (34.3–48.5) 38.8 (33.1–45.5) – 5.4 (– 7.5 to – 2.8)
 Female 798,760.6 (677,669.1–943,983.6) 1,273,955.2 (1,098,304.6–1,478,594.1) 34.5 (29.2–40.3) 30.6 (26.4–35.6) – 11.2 (– 13.2 to – 8.8)
SDI factor
 High SDI 390,419.1 (335,676.7–452,156.8) 533,633.2 (477,729.8–597,075.3) 41.3 (35.4–48.0) 38.1 (33.9–42.7) – 7.9 (– 11.8 to – 3.1)
 High-middle SDI 482,857.1 (406,521.4–568,658.8) 667,222.6 (569,618.5–769,408.6) 43.2 (36.6–50.6) 36.7 (31.5–42.6) – 15.0 (– 16.6 to – 13.1)
 Middle SDI 455,054.8 (373,090.6–554,469.3) 735,082.3 (616,164.7–867,454.5) 33.7 (27.8–40.1) 28.8 (24.4–34.2) – 14.3 (– 16.7 to – 11.4)
 Low-middle SDI 297,240.1 (244,736.5–361,676.3) 598,531.4 (497,030.5–720,521.9) 34.9 (29.0–41.8) 36.5 (30.7–43.7) 4.6 (3.0–6.4)
 Low SDI 101,572 (83,136.7–123,390.1) 224,224.5 (183,906.9–270,951.5) 28.4 (23.8–33.7) 27.7 (23.4–32.9) – 2.4 (– 3.5 to – 1.3)
Region
 Andean Latin America 12,751.6 (10,888.9–14,964.7) 26,446.1 (23,242.3–30,101.7) 45.8 (39.6–52.9) 43.5 (38.4–49.3) – 5.0 (– 7.3 to – 2.6)
 Australasia 8618.4(7250.0–10,167.5) 14,394.8 (12,298.7–16,770.4) 38.6 (32.5–45.3) 37.6 (31.7–44) – 2.8 (– 5.2 to – 0.3)
 Caribbean 8807.7 (7294.7–10,668.9) 14,155.4 (11,772.9–16,692.7) 28.8 (23.9–34.3) 28.4 (23.5–33.6) – 1.7 (– 2.9 to – 0.4)
 Central Asia 18,365.6 (15,467.5–21,700.0) 29,035.3 (24,076.9–34,326.1) 33.7 (28.4–39.4) 32.9 (27.7–38.5) – 2.4 (– 3.4 to – 1.1)
 Central Europe 67,402.6 (57,280.6–78,292.3) 73,015.8 (64,542.3–82,156.6) 49.4 (42–57.3) 45.2 (40.1–50.9) – 8.6 (– 12.5 to – 3.2)
 Central Latin America 46,647.8 (39,437.0–55,591.9) 96,777.3 (83,302.4–112,767.0) 37.6 (32.1–44) 38.6 (33.3–44.7) 2.6 (1.0–4.4)
 Central Sub-Saharan Africa 7427.2 (6052.5–9165.5) 18,256.3 (14,929.3–22,374.1) 21.1 (17.6–25) 20.8 (17.5–24.7) – 1.0 (– 2.9 to – 0.9)
 East Asia 396,687.7 (322,719.1–482,300.5) 526,066.5 (444,786.6–615,193.3) 38 (31.1–45.4) 27.6 (23.5–32.2) – 27.4 (– 30.4 to – 23.8)
 Eastern Europe 182,577.6 (155,056.7–211,692.2) 221,945.2 (188,142.5–258,013.8) 71.2 (60.8–82.9) 79.6 (68.2–92.5) 11.7 (10.8–12.7)
 Eastern Sub-Saharan Africa 25,232.9 (20,531.3–31,140.5) 57,965.7 (46,838.7–71,275.5) 21.1 (17.7–25.2) 21.1 (17.7–25.2) 0.1 (– 0.6 to – 0.7)
 High-income Asia Pacific 62,652.3 (52,382.8–74,360.9) 78,997.7 (68,905.1–90,260.6) 32.9 (27.6–39.1) 31.5 (27.3–36.5) – 4.3 (– 9.0 to – 1.3)
 High-income North America 200,836.4 (173,238.5–232,436.8) 257,777.8 (236,252.7–284,187.5) 62.4 (53.7–72.0) 52.0 (47.5–56.9) – 16.6 (– 22.3 to – 9.9)
 North Africa and Middle East 61,824.3 (50,782.1–75,020.1) 140,637.9 (117,038.5–168,090.2) 26.7 (22.3–31.5) 26.6 (22.5–31.2) – 0.2 (– 1.7 to – 1.6)
 Oceania 1078.6 (884.9–1322.0) 2385.6 (1934.6–2925.5) 24.9 (20.7–29.6) 24.1 (20–28.7) – 3.0 (– 5.0 to – 0.8)
 South Asia 328,618.8 (267,223.4–401,086.7) 743,524.0 (611,176.0–901,906.4) 38.1 (31.6–45.9) 43.0 (35.9–51.7) 12.8 (10.9–14.9)
 Southeast Asia 93,540.7 (76,473.3–113,689.3) 174,246.5 (143,846.9–208,675.3) 26.0 (21.6–30.9) 25.3 (21.2–30.1) – 2.6 (– 3.9 to – 1.5)
 Southern Latin America 15,849.3 (13,664.8–18,265.2) 24,167.2 (20,962.5–27,835.3) 33.6 (28.9–38.6) 31.6 (27.4–36.6) – 5.8 (– 7.9 to – 3.9)
 Southern Sub-Saharan Africa 8604.9 (7042.0–10,531.2) 15,207.3 (12,560.8–18,528.5) 22.1 (18.5–26.4) 21.7 (18.1–25.9) – 5.8 (– 7.9 to – 3.9)
 Tropical Latin America 23,704.1 (20,682.2–27,345.5) 47,509.1 (41,862.2–53,770.0) 20.1 (17.7–22.7) 19.4 (17.1–21.9) – 3.4 (– 4.7 to – 2.0)
 Western Europe 123,270.9 (107,562.6–140,276.4) 170,344.2 (149,047.3–194,756.8) 25.4 (22.1–29.2) 26.3 (22.8–30.1) 3.5 (1.5–5.3)
 Western Sub-Saharan Africa 33,289.8 (27,664.2–40,190.6) 82,116.6 (68,165.6–98,901.6) 26.0 (22.0–30.6) 26.7 (22.7–31.4) 3.0 (2.5–3.5)
  1. EAPC, estimated annual percentage change; UI, uncertainty interval