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Table 3 Predictive and discriminative abilities for identification of patients at high-risk of mortality in 30 days

From: Validation of a new risk score system for non-variceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding

System

Cut-off

High-risk

n(%)

Sensitivity

(%)

Specificity

(%)

AUROC (95% CI)

Mortality

n(%)

PPV

(%)

NPV

(%)

AIMS65

> 1

304 (33.6)

81.82

68.87

0.832 (0.806 to 0.856)

36 (11)

11.8

98.7

PNED

> 4

208 (23)

84.09

80.14

0.865 (0.841 to 0.886)

37 (17)

17.8

99

Pre-RS

> 4

165 (18.2)

59.09

83.86

0.802 (0.774 to 0.827)

26 (15)

15.8

97.6

GBS

> 12

219 (24)

63.64

77.82

0.765 (0.736 to 0.793)

28 (12)

12.8

97.7

INBS

> 7

131 (14.5)

97.73

89.79

0.958 (0.943 to 0.970)

43 (32)

32.8

99.9

  1. INBS International bleeding risk score, Pre-RS Pre-endoscopic Rockall Score, GBS Glasgow Blatchford score, PNED Progetto Nazionale Emorragia Digestiva, AUROC Area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve, CI Confidence interval