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Table 5 Sensitivity, specificity and AUC of different indicators in predicting mortality in SAP

From: Initially elevated arterial lactate as an independent predictor of poor outcomes in severe acute pancreatitis

Laboratory Markers

Mortality

Sensitivity

(%)

Specificity

(%)

AUC

(%)

Yes

No

Arterial lactate

 ≥4 mmol//L

20

45

71

85

0.78

 < 4 mmol//L

8

256

   

Serum creatinine

 ≥1.9 mg/dl,

16

58

57

81

0.69

 < 1.9 mg/ dl,

12

243

   

Procalcitonin

 ≥3.8 ng/ml

25

117

89

61

0.75

 < 3.8 ng/ml

3

184

   

APACHEII scores

 ≥15

16

52

57

83

0.7

 < 15

12

249

   
  1. Abbreviations; APACHE Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation,