Skip to main content

Table 2 Adjusted incidence rate ratio (IRR) and score contribution of (A) use of corticosteroids, (B) start of azathioprine, (C) start of anti-TNF- α drugs, (D) need of surgery

From: A risk score system to timely manage treatment in Crohn’s disease: a cohort study

 

IRR

95% CI

p

score

A. Use of corticosteroids

 No or CD intestinal lesions < 20 cm and no complications (ref)

1

   

0

 CD complications at SICUS

1.86

1.04

3.34

0.04

1

 CD intestinal lesions > 20 cm and no complications at SICUS

3.38

1.80

6.35

< 0.01

3

 Presence of colon-ileal reflux at SICUS (ref)

1

   

0

 Absence of colon-ileal reflux at SICUS

1.54

1.00

2.37

0.05

1

 Age at diagnosis ≥40 years (ref)

1

   

0

 Age at diagnosis < 40 years

1.83

1.04

3.24

0.04

1

 B1 or B3 disease behavior (ref)

1

   

0

 B2 disease behavior

2.23

1.26

3.93

0.01

2

 Absence of specific symptoms at clinical assessment (ref)

1

   

0

 Presence of specific symptoms at clinical assessment

1.93

1.36

2.73

< 0.01

2

B. Start of azathioprine

 Male (ref)

1

   

0

 Female

2.08

1.19

3.64

0.01

1

 BMI > 25 (ref)

1

   

0

 BMI < 21

4.10

1.95

8.61

< 0.01

2

 BMI 21–25

2.13

1.04

4.33

0.04

1

 CDAI < 50 (ref)

1

   

0

 CDAI ≥50

1.82

1.13

2.90

0.013

1

C. Start of anti-TNF-α drugs

 Absence of CD intestinal lesions or complications at SICUS (ref)

1

   

0

 CD intestinal lesions > 20 cm and no complications at SICUS

5.72

1.88

17.40

< 0.01

2

 CD complications at SICUS

2.34

0.81

6.73

0.12

1

 Negative markers of inflammation (ref)

1

   

0

 Positive markers of inflammation

2.63

1.45

4.78

< 0.01

1

 Absence of specific symptoms at clinical assessment (ref)

1

   

0

 Presence of specific symptoms at clinical assessment

2.52

1.46

4.34

< 0.01

1

D. Need of surgery

 No previous surgery

6.40

2.01

20.31

< 0.01

2

 Previous surgery and type of ileocolonic anastomosis (ICA)

• latero-lateral ICA (ref)

1

   

0

• termino-terminal ICA

3.90

0.62

24.69

0.15

2

 No or CD intestinal lesions and no complications (ref)

1

   

0

 CD intestinal lesions > 0.5 cm and complications at SICUS

10.63

3.04

37.11

< 0.01

3

 Corticosteroid at first flare (ref)

1

   

0

 No corticosteroid at first flare

2.32

1.29

4.17

0.01

1

 Absence of specific symptoms at clinical assessment (ref)

1

   

0

 Presence of specific symptoms at clinical assessment

3.75

2.01

7.01

< 0.01

2

 No current use of corticosteroid (ref)

1

   

0

 Current use of corticosteroid

3.60

1.99

6.51

< 0.01

2

 Negative markers of inflammation (ref)

1

   

0

 Positive markers of inflammation

2.31

1.15

4.66

0.02

1

  1. ICA: ileo-colonic anastomosis, IRR: incidence rate ratio
  2. IRR and score estimates were obtained by Poisson models based on clinical assessment findings; models evaluated the occurrence of each specified outcome within the subsequent clinical assessment; 95% confidence intervals and p-values were calculated taking into account that clinical assessments were clustered within patient; selected predictors for each outcome were obtained starting from a multiple model including all the variables described in the method section and then excluding at each step that with the highest p-value > 0.15 (from log-likelihood ratio test). Final models include only predictors with a log-likelihood ratio test p < 0.15; IRR > 1 indicate an increased risk of having the specified outcome compared to the reference group