A comparison of Child-Pugh, APACHE II and APACHE III scoring systems in predicting hospital mortality of patients with liver cirrhosis

Table 2 Comparison of the predictive values of the scoring systems

Parameter	Child-Pugh	APACHE II	APACHE III
Cutoff point^a	10	15	62
Youden index	0.67	0.43	0.63
Sensitivity (%)	91	65	73
Specificity (%)	76	77	89
Correct classification (%)	78	76	87
Positive predictive value (%)	33	27	47
Negative predictive value (%)	98	94	96
AUC (95% CI)^b	0.859	0.759	0.816
	(0.793 to 0.924)	(0.704 to 0.928)	(0.634 to 0.882)

ISSN: 1471-230X