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Table 4 Outcomes of the base-case scenario at 2013 and 2030

From: Modelling the impact of improving screening and treatment of chronic hepatitis C virus infection on future hepatocellular carcinoma rates and liver-related mortality

Base-case outcomes (year)

Total HCV cases

HCV-related fibrosis

HCV-related cirrhosis

HCV-related decompensated cirrhosis

HCV-related HCC

HCV-related liver related deaths

2013

144000

133000

9500

860

410

390

(103000–174000)

(95200–162000)

(4000–16600)

(350 – 1630)

(200–770)

(170–700)

2030

76300

59500

13700

1280

880

740

(35300 – 106000)

(26500 – 89400)

(6370 – 20900)

(550 – 2150)

(430 – 1510)

(350 – 1140)