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Table 6 Multivariate multilevel logistic regression analysis of predicting factors for overall deep biliary cannulation success rate

From: Predicting native papilla biliary cannulation success using a multinational Endoscopic Retrograde Cholangiopancreatography (ERCP) Quality Network

Variables

OR (95%CI)

p value

Case-specific

  

  Trainee involvement

 

<0.0001

  0%

Reference

 

  1-50%

0.50 (0.38-0.66)

 

  51-99%

1.55 (1.05-2.27)

 

  100%

9.16 (4.18-20.05)

 

  ERCP difficulty

 

0.01

  1

Reference

 

  2

1.26 (0.99-1.59)

 

  3

0.70 (0.51-0.97)

 

  ASA grade

 

<0.0001

  I

Reference

 

  II

0.78 (0.59-1.02)

 

  III-V

0.52 (0.38-0.70)

 

  Sedation level

 

0.01

  Deep (with propofol)/General

Reference

 

  Moderate/conscious

0.67 (0.49-0.92)

 

  Patient status at time of ERCP

 

0.43

  Inpatient

Reference

 

  Outpatient

1.09 (0.88-1.35)

 

  Indications

 

<0.0001

  Suspected or known stone

Reference

 

  Obstructive Jaundice

0.45 (0.35-0.57)

 

  Chronic pain

1.03 (0.63-1.70)

 

  Abnormal liver tests

0.71 (0.47-1.08)

 

  Chronic pancreatitis

0.63 (0.41-0.98)

 

  Biliary post-surgical problem

0.53 (0.35-0.79)

 

  Clarify biliary image findings

0.58 (0.35-0.96)

 

  Pancreatitis (acute, active )

0.46 (0.29-0.71)

 

  Tumor ablation

1.28 (0.38-4.34)

 

Endoscopist-specific

  

  Country setting

 

0.40

  US

Reference

 

  UK

0.71 (0.41-1.22)

 

  Other

0.78 (0.36-1.66)

 

  Annual volume

 

0.01

  ≤90

Reference

 

  91-150

1.28 (0.72-2.29)

 

  151-239

1.85 (0.95-3.60)

 

  >239

2.79 (1.46-5.31)

 

  Fluoroscopy time for grade 1

 

0.02

  >3

Reference

 

  ≤3

1.72 (1.10-2.69)