|
Prevalence fibrosis
1
|
7463
|
209 (2.8%)
|
50 (0.7-1.4%)
|
|
Metabolic factors oriented
| | | |
|
Predictive value
| | | |
|
At least one metabolic factor
|
3990
|
163 (4.1%)
|
40 (1.0%)
|
|
None
|
3473
|
46 (1.3%)
|
10 (0.3%)
|
|
Odds ratio
|
7463
|
3.2 (2.3-4.5)
|
3.4 (1.7-7.5)
|
|
Area under ROC curve
|
4854
|
0.69(0.64-0.73)
|
0.71 (0.59-0.80)
|
|
Alcohol-oriented per self-
| | | |
|
reported consumption
| | | |
|
Predictive value
| | | |
|
>10 g female/20 g male
|
1686
|
52 (3.1%)
|
15 (0.9%)
|
|
<= 10 g female/<= 20 g male
|
5770
|
157 (2.7%)
|
35 (0.6%)
|
|
Odds Ratio
|
7456
|
1.1 (0.8-1.6)
|
1.5 (0.8-2.8)
|
|
Area under ROC curve
|
7456
|
0.55(0.51-0.59)
|
0.52 (0.43-0.60)
|
|
CDT oriented
| | | |
|
Predictive value
| | | |
|
CDT>1.6
|
348
|
45 (12.9%)
|
22 (6.3%)
|
|
CDT<= 1.6
|
749
|
29 (3.9%)
|
8 (1.1%)
|
|
Odds Ratio
|
1097
|
3.7 (2.2-6.2)
|
6.1 (2.6-15.4)
|
|
Area under ROC curve
|
1097
|
0.72(0.64-0.78)
|
0.75 (0.67-0.86)
|
|
Hepatitis Virus-oriented
2
| | | |
|
Predictive value
| | | |
|
HBsAg or HCV antibody
|
36
|
5 (13.9%)
|
3 (8.3%)
|
|
HBsAg and HCV negative or not done at baseline
|
7427
|
204 (2.7%)
|
47 (0.6%)
|
|
Odds ratio
|
7463
|
5.9 (1.9-15.6)
|
15.3 (3.4-50.9)
|
|
Transaminases- oriented
| | | |
|
Predictive value
| | | |
|
ALT >= 50 IU/L
|
513
|
53 (10.3%)
|
17 (3.3%)
|
|
ALT < 50 IU/L
|
6950
|
156 (2.2%)
|
33 (0.5%)
|
|
Odds ratio
|
7463
|
5.0 (3.6-7.0)
|
7.2 (3.8-13.4)
|
|
Area under ROC curve
|
7463
|
0.72(0.68-0.75)
|
0.78 (0.72-0.83)
|
|
Age-oriented
| | | |
|
Predictive value
| | | |
|
Age > 60 years
|
2960
|
156 (5.3%)
|
42 (1.4%)
|
|
Age <= 60 years
|
4503
|
53 (1.2%)
|
8 (0.2%)
|
|
Odds ratio
|
7463
|
4.7 (3.4-6.5)
|
8.3 (3.8-19.5)
|
|
Area under ROC curve
|
7463
|
0.75(0.72-0.78)
|
0.79 (0.71-0.84)
|
|
Gender-oriented
| | | |
|
Male
|
4113
|
189 (4.6%)
|
47 (1.1%)
|
|
Female
|
3350
|
20 (0.6%)
|
3 (0.1%)
|
|
Odds ratio
|
7463
|
8.0 (5.0-13.1)
|
12.0 (4.0-54.1)
|
